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2024-12-14 00:05:40

Peter Orsag, CEO of Lazard Financial Consultant: Geopolitical concerns are bringing more downside risks.The consumption potential of the trade-in policy continued to be released. According to the VAT invoice data released by State Taxation Administration of The People's Republic of China on December 11th, from January to November, the retail sales revenue of household audio-visual equipment such as televisions and household appliances such as refrigerators increased by 15.9% and 18.7% respectively. The sales revenue of furniture retailing and sanitary ware retailing increased by 16.8% and 12.5% respectively. Experts said that recent data from various aspects show that the effect of the trade-in policy for consumer goods has appeared and the consumption potential has been continuously released. In the next stage, with the continuous expansion of the coverage of the "two new" policies and the recent package of economic incremental policies, the policy effect is expected to be further revealed. (CSI)Dollar deposits and wealth management are popular again. Experts suggest paying attention to exchange risk. Although it is in the cycle of interest rate reduction by the Federal Reserve, dollar deposit products are still attractive to investors. Since December, a number of bank wealth management subsidiaries have intensively put on shelves US dollar wealth management products. Judging from the rate of return, the performance benchmark of some US dollar fixed-income wealth management products currently launched is close to 5%, but the performance benchmark of RMB wealth management products with the same risk level is mostly around 2%. According to the statistics of Puyi standard data, as of December 9, there were 1,312 surviving products in US dollar financing, and the surviving scale of US dollar financing reached 281.927 billion yuan, which has doubled from the surviving scale of 140.351 billion yuan at the end of December last year. In addition, although banks have previously lowered the interest rate of dollar deposit products, from the current point of view, the interest rate of some banks' dollar deposits remains above 4%, attracting many customers to buy. In addition, the annual interest rates of US dollar deposit products issued by banks such as Ningbo Bank Co., Ltd. and hengfeng bank Co., Ltd. are also between 3% and 4%. According to industry insiders, under the Fed's interest rate cut cycle, the main reason for the high heat of dollar wealth management and dollar deposits is the exchange rate expectation of a strong dollar. If the market expects the US dollar to appreciate or remain stable, holding US dollar assets (such as US dollar wealth management and US dollar deposits) can benefit from the potential exchange rate appreciation even if interest rates fall. In addition, in order to diversify risks, some investors choose to allocate part of their funds to US dollar assets to realize diversification of asset allocation. (Securities Daily)


The settlement price of international crude oil rose by over 2%. As of the close of the day, the futures price of light crude oil delivered in January 2025 in the New York Mercantile Exchange rose by 1.70 US dollars to close at 70.29 US dollars per barrel, an increase of 2.48%; London Brent crude oil futures for delivery in February 2025 rose by $1.33 to close at $73.52 per barrel, an increase of 1.84%.At least 15 people were killed in the attack on the capital of Northern Darfur, Sudan. On the 11th, government officials of Northern Darfur in western Sudan said that Sudan's rapid support forces shelled a market in El Fasher, the capital of the state, and Zam Zam refugee camp that day, which has caused 15 deaths.Brazil's Vale said it had reached an agreement with the US Department of Energy to provide financing of $282.9 million for the Louisiana plant until 2031.


The US government budget in November was-367 billion US dollars, with an expected-353 billion US dollars and a previous value of-257.5 billion US dollars.Moynihan, CEO of Bank of America: For encrypting digital currency assets, anything new needs to pass the "battlefield test". The United States needs to finalize the revised draft of Basel III, and the US plan needs rationality.Euronext: Due to an accident in the waterway, the delivery point along the Mosel River of the February 2025 rapeseed futures (COMG5) contract will be unavailable until further notice.

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